Evaluation of factors affecting predator-prey distribution for grey wolves, wild sheep, and wild goats in Haftad-Gholleh National Park, Iran
DOI:
https://doi.org/10.22120/jwb.2021.522829.1210Keywords:
Habitat suitability modeling, Environmental niche model, MaxEntAbstract
Haftad-Gholleh National Park located in central Iran is inhabited by two prey species: the wild sheep (Ovis orientalis) and the wild goat (Capra aegagrus). Their main predator in the park area is the grey wolf (Canis lupus). We applied a maximum-entropy presence-only approach to model habitat suitability for these three species in the Haftad-Gholleh National Park. Moreover, we studied their niche breadth using ENMTools. Altogether seven environmental variables were incorporated into the final models including: percentage of vegetation cover, slope, aspect, elevation, distance from human activities, distance from water, and distance from road. Results indicated that habitat variables such as slope, aspect, and distance from water were the most important variables affecting the predictive power of the prey and predator species models. The Grey wolf has a distribution larger than that of the wild goat, but smaller than that of the wild sheep. Interestingly, niche-breadth analysis indicates that the grey wolf has a niche breadth half that of the wild sheep and twice that of the wild goat. Wild sheep have a relatively wide geographical extent and show a tendency to marginal and strictly protected habitats; the grey wolf chooses moderate areas fit for its moderate mobility of habitat variability and dependency to restricted natural habitats; and the wild goat has a relatively narrow geographical extent and shows a tendency to specific restricted natural habitats in the Haftad-Gholleh National Park.
References
Ahmadi, M., Kaboli, M., Nourani, E., Shabani, A.A. and Ashrafi, S., (2013). A predictive spatial model for gray wolf (Canis lupus) denning sites in a human-dominated landscape in western Iran. Ecological Research, 28(3), 513-521.
Ahmadi, M., López-Bao, J. V., Kaboli, M. (2014). Spatial heterogeneity in human activities favors the persistence of wolves in the agroecosystems. PLoS One, 9(9), 1-10.
Ansari, A. (2009). Monitoring ecosystems and natural habitats of Markazi Province identification of degraded and vulnerable habitats. Journal of Iran DOE, 47,22-32.
Ansari, A. (2020). Habitat evaluation of Levantine viper (Macrovipera lebetina Linnaeus, 1758) in Haftad-Gholleh protected area, Markazi province, Iran. Journal of Wildlife and Biodiversity, 4(3), 1-7
Ansari, A., Karami, M., Rezai, H. R., Riazi, B. (2014). Developmental impacts on wild goat’s (Capra aegagrus) ecosystem in Markazi province and its solutions. Journal of Biodiversity and Environmental Sciences, 5(1), 145-149.
DOE, Markazi. (2010). Natural Features Atlas of Markazi Province. Publisher: NAQSH-E MANA by Order of Department of Environment Markazi.
DOE, Markazi. (2020). Report of the census on the population of mammals in the Haftad-Gholleh protected area. http://markazi.doe.ir/Portal/.
Esfandabad, B. S., Karami, M., Hemami, M. R., Riazi, B., Sadough, M. B. (2010). Habitat associations of wild goat in central Iran: implications for conservation. European journal of wildlife research, 56(6), 883-894.
Farhadinia, M.S., Johnson, P.J., Hunter, L.T., Macdonald, D.W. (2017). Wolves can suppress goodwill for leopards: Patterns of human-predator coexistence in northeastern Iran. Biological Conservation, 213, 210-217.
Farrashi, A., Kaboli, M., Momeni, I. (2011). Habitat suitability modeling of Capra aegagrus in kola Ghazi National park. Journal of Natural Environment. 63(1), 63-73.
Fielding, A. H., Bell, J. F. (1997). A review of methods for the assessment of prediction errors in conservation presence/absence models. Environmental Conservation. 24, 38–49.
Frankel, M., Soule, E. (1981). Conservation and evolution. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, UK.327PP.
Franklin, J., Wejnert, K. E., Hathaway, S. A., Rochester, C. J., Fisher, R. N. (2009). Effect of species rarity on the accuracy of species distribution models for reptiles and amphibians in southern California. Diversity Distributions. 15, 167–177.
Guisan, A., Tingley, R., Baumgartner, J. B., Naujokaitis-Lewis I Sutcliffe, P. R., Tulloch A. I. (2013). Predicting species distributions for conservation decisions. Ecology Letters,16, 1424–1435.
Hosseini, M., Farashi, A., Khani, A., Farhadinia, M.S. (2019). Landscape connectivity for mammalian megafauna along the Iran-Turkmenistan-Afghanistan borderland. Journal for Nature Conservation, 52, 125735.
Hosseini‐Zavarei, F., Farhadinia, M. S., Beheshti‐Zavareh, M., Abdoli, A. (2013). Predation by grey wolf on wild ungulates and livestock in central Iran. Journal of Zoology, 290(2), 127-134.
Kabir, M., Hameed, S., Ali, H., Bosso, L., Din, J.U., Bischof, R., Redpath, S. and Nawaz, M.A. (2017). Habitat suitability and movement corridors of grey wolf (Canis lupus) in Northern Pakistan. PloS One, 12(11), 1-17.
Kearney, M., & Porter, W. P. (2004). Mapping the fundamental niche: Physiology, climate, and the distribution of a nocturnal lizard. Ecology, 85, 3119–3131.
Legault, A., Theuerkauf, J., Chartendrault, V., Rouys, S., Saoumoé, M., Verfaille, L. (2013). Using ecological niche models to infer the distribution and population size of parakeets in New Caledonia. Biological Conservation, 167, 149–160.
Manel, S., Williams, H. C., Ormerod, S. J. (2001). Evaluating presence–absence models in ecology: The need to account for prevalence. Journal of Applied Ecology, 38, 921–931.
Mech, L. D., Boitani, L. (2003). Wolf social ecology, in Wolves: Behavior, Ecology and Conservation, Chicago, IL: Univ. of Chicago Press, pp. 1–34.
Mohammadi, A., Almasieh, K., Clevenger, A.P., Fatemizadeh, F., Rezaei, A., Jowkar, H. and Kaboli, M. (2018). Road expansion: A challenge to conservation of mammals, with particular emphasis on the endangered Asiatic cheetah in Iran. Journal for Nature Conservation, 43,8-18.
Mohammadi, A., Kaboli, M., Sazatornil, V., López-Bao, J. V. (2019). Anthropogenic food resources sustain wolves in conflict scenarios of Western Iran. PloS one, 14(6), 1-13.
Nakazato, T., Warren, D. L., Moyle, L. C. (2010). Ecological and geographic modes of species divergence in wild tomatoes. American Journal of Botany, 97, 680–693.
Peers, M. J., Wehtje, M., Thornton, D. H., Murray, D. L. (2014). Prey switching as a means of enhancing persistence in predators at the trailing southern edge. Global Change Biology,20, 1126–1135.
Phillips, S. J., Dud ´ ). Modeling of species distributions with Maxent: new 2008 k, K. M. (extensions and a comprehensive evaluation. Ecography , 31, 161-175.
Phillips, S. J., Anderson, R. E. (2006). Schapire Maximum entropy modeling of species geographic distributions, Ecological Modelling, 190, 231–259.
Ronald Eastman, J. (2015). TerrSet Tutorial, Production of Clark University, www.clarklabs.org Safavian, S., Alizadeh Shabani, A., Imani Harsini, J., Naderi, M. (2018). Factors Affecting
Predator-Prey Distribution in a Protected Area, Tehran, Iran (a Case with Wolves and Wild Sheep). Russian Journal of Ecology, 49(2), 172–179.
Tourani, M., Moqanaki, E. M., Boitani, L., Ciucci, P. (2014). Anthropogenic effects on the feeding habits of wolves in an altered arid landscape of central Iran. Mammalia, 78(1), 117-121.
Treves, A., Martin, K. A., Wydeven, A. P., Wiedenhoeft, J. E. (2011). Forecasting environmental hazards and the application of risk maps to predator attacks on livestock. BioScience, 61, 451–458.
Vanderwal, J., Shoo, L. P., Graham, C., Williams, S. E. (2009). Selecting pseudo-absence data for presence-only distribution modeling: How far should you stray from what you know? Ecol. Model., vol. 220, pp. 589–594.
Warren, D. L., Glor, R. E., Turelli, M. (2008). Environmental niche equivalency versus conservatism: Quantitative approaches to niche evolution. Evolution, 62, 2868–2883.
Warren, D. L., Seifert, S. N. (2011). Ecological niche modeling in MaxEnt: The importance of model complexity and the performance of model selection criteria, Ecological Applications, 21, 335–342.
Warren, D. L., Glor, R. E., Turelli, M. (2010). ENMTools: a toolbox for comparative studies of environmental niche models. Ecography, 33(3), 607-611.
Weinberg, P., Jdeidi, T., Masseti, M., Nader, I., Desmet, K., Cuzin, F. (2008). Capra aegagrus. In: IUCN Red List of Threatened Species. URL:http://www.iucnredlist.org
Ziaie, H. (2008). A Fied Guide to the Mammals of Iran. 1th Edition, Iran Wildlife Center, Tehran.